In 2024, Labour won hundreds of seats because Conservative and Reform UK voters were divided. Enter your postcode to find which right-of-centre party is strongest in your constituency.
The right-wing party best placed to win in a constituency takes into account votes cast at the last general election and current polling and demographics.
Projected GB seats won under three scenarios, based on 2024 results and current polling
In the 2024 General Election, the right-of-centre vote was split between the Conservative Party and Reform UK. Labour won hundreds of seats with as little as 30% of the vote because the opposition was fragmented.
By identifying which right-of-centre party polled strongest in your constituency in 2024, you can vote tactically at the next election and avoid wasting your vote to the split.
We start with the 2024 General Election results for the Conservative Party and Reform UK, then apply current national polling and account for the emergence of new parties such as Restore Britain to project which right-of-centre party is best placed to win in your constituency today.
Have a question, a local tip, or intelligence about a seat that the model isn't capturing? We want to hear from you.